Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?
Closes April 14, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.1% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
89% / 91%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1908681
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 13: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 13: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
87% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
91% YES (+4.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-4.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this