Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 14?
Closes April 14, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.1% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
42% / 46%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
39%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 14?" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1908684
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 13: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 13: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 14: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
44% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Current
46% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this