Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$59K
Liquidity
$64K
Bid / Ask
39% / 40%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
40%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Warriors (-5.5)" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Spread: Warriors (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1923848
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Spread: Warriors (-2.5): 51%, 1H Spread: Warriors (-2.5): 46%, Spread: Warriors (-3.5): 46%.
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
41% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
37% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this