Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Closes April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.4M
Liquidity
$84K
Bid / Ask
87% / 88%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
82%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.4M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1930386
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - M: 100%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO: 72%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - M: 56%.
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL B
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
48% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
48%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +30.0pp
48% → 78%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
78% YES (+30.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this