ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$289K

Liquidity

$601K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $289K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1930388

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - M: 100%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO: 78%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - M: 56%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+51.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: +56.5pp

44% → 100%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

100% YES (+56.5pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this