ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$217K

Liquidity

$64K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $217K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1930390

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO: 100%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - M: 100%, Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - M: 40%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+45.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: +42.0pp

57% → 100%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 61¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this