ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5
Share on X

Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

87%YES
14%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

87% / 92%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

87%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5" at 87% YES / 13% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 87%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 87%, NO 13%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1942491

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5: 87%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5: 71%, Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5: 44%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Current

53% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 87%99%
Buy YES@ 87¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.7%
½ Kelly1.9%
Buy NO@ 14¢

-3.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this