Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 12?
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
0% / 2%
Spread
1.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 12?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1953280
This event has 26 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 53%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 12?: 43%, Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 14%.
Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this