Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$248K
Liquidity
$81K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $248K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1959483
This event has 35 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 93%, XRP reach $1.40 in April?: 80%.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
98% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
99% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this