Will Solana reach $100 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.2% ↓, ETH +0.1% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
26% / 29%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $100 in April?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will Solana reach $100 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823887
This event has 28 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?: 99%, Solana reach $90 in April?: 67%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 64%.
Solana reach $100 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
11% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +20.0pp
14% → 34%
Apr 8, 2026
Peak probability
34% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
28% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this