ForecastMind
Markets/Will Solana reach $150 in April?
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Will Solana reach $150 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$14K

Liquidity

$51K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+81.8pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $150 in April?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will Solana reach $150 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823882

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-23.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: -23.8pp

25% → 1%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

1% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this