Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$108K
Bid / Ask
50% / 52%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1959964
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5: 50%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5: 49%, Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5: 46%.
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this