Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?
FM Estimate
21%Market Price
23%This event has 8 active outcome markets. April 21, 2026: 76%, June 30, 2026: 68%, May 31, 2026: 60%.
US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1992058