Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: 22%, September 30: 14%, June 30: 8%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~51%.
US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $521 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on September 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2034729