Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: 22%, September 30: 14%, June 30: 9%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~50%.
US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2034747