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Markets/Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
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Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$195K

Liquidity

$111K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+8.1pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $195K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/568691

Outcome Markets93 markets

This event has 93 active outcome markets. Scottie Scheffler: 14%, Jon Rahm: 9%, Bryson Dechambeau: 8%.

Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

2% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+8.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+8.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this