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Markets/Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?
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Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$80K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

1%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?

2026

Full event →
the 2026 Masters tournament?
18%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
10%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
6%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
6%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
5%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
4%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
4%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
3%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
2%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
1%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%
the 2026 Masters tournament?
0%

59 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 2, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/568641