Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Closes June 30, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 36% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -2.7% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑, DXY +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
33% / 38%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/825856
This event has 15 active outcome markets. Victor Marx: 48%, Barbara Kirkmeyer: 36%, Scott Bottoms: 12%.
Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republ
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this