Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Closes June 30, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing VIX -2.7% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑, DXY +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$296
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
1% / 3%
Spread
2.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $296 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.30 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/825860
This event has 15 active outcome markets. Victor Marx: 48%, Barbara Kirkmeyer: 36%, Scott Bottoms: 12%.
Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republica
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-11.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this