Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Closes May 19, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.3pp below current market price; market at 77% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -2.7% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
74% / 80%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
77%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/837771
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Keisha Lance Bottoms: 77%, Rick Jackson: 59%, Burt Jones: 30%.
Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Demo
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Price History
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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