Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Closes June 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
4% / 6%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican…
2026
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
5% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/907354
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.