Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Ducks vs. Oilers
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
48% / 50%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
44%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Ducks vs. Oilers
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Current
45% YES (+2.5pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Oilers" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Ducks vs. Oilers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1476571
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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