Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Flyers vs. Red Wings
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.0M
Liquidity
$54K
Bid / Ask
63% / 65%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
64%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Flyers vs. Red Wings
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
64%
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: +17.0pp
47% → 64%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
64% YES (+17.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Flyers vs. Red Wings" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Flyers vs. Red Wings." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1476618
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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