ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5
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Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

96%YES
4%NO

Volume 24h

$88K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

51% / 53%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

96%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+31.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: +33.0pp

48% → 81%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

81% YES (+33.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 96%99%
Buy YES@ 96¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 4¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $88K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1778757