Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
Closed March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$372K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
32% / 50%
Spread
18.00pp
Expert Signal
45%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Warriors vs. Nuggets
9 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
50% YES (+3.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $372K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 18.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1767972
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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