ForecastMind

Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?

2028

Consensus Probability

2%
Weak15%
Polymarket2% avg · 59 markets
Kalshi44% avg · 1 market

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$2.4Mstandalone
PolymarketWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$1.4Mstandalone
PolymarketWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$935Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$863Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$745Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?4%$402Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$357Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$339Kstandalone
PolymarketWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3%$335Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$303Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$269Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$268Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$246Kstandalone
PolymarketWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$242Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$240Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$239Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$226Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$211Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$210Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$195Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$191Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$173Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$150Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$140Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$134Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$132Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$126Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$125Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$121Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$120Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$114Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$104Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$103Kstandalone
PolymarketWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$99Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$97Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$91Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$85Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$84Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$84Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$80Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2%$73Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%$72Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$70Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?3%$69Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$54Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$54Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$47Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?27%$40Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%$38Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$35Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$32Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$29Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%$25Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$21Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$21Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$19Kstandalone
PolymarketWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$17Kstandalone
PolymarketWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?37%$12Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%$7Kstandalone
KalshiWill Republican win the Presidency in 2028?44%$186Kstandalone
Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028? — 2% Consensus | ForecastMind