US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
June
Consensus Probability
15%
Weak0%
Polymarket21% avg · 3 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | 2% | $8K | standalone |
| Polymarket | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 17% | $7K | standalone |
| Polymarket | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | 43% | $3K | standalone |