Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
March
Consensus Probability
22%
Moderate45%
Polymarket13% avg · 3 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. Some spread between venues — treat as directional signal.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | 23% | $83K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | 3% | $5K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 13% | $538 | standalone |