Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
March 2026
Consensus Probability
33%
Strong81%
Polymarket33% avg · 3 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. Markets are in close agreement.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | 36% | $46K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | 25% | $22K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | 39% | $11K | standalone |