Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2026
Consensus Probability
10%
Weak5%
Polymarket20% avg · 5 markets
Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.
Contributing Markets
| Venue | Market | YES | Volume | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 0% | $125K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 56% | $22K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 44% | $8K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 0% | $3K | standalone |
| Polymarket | Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 0% | $1K | standalone |