PolymarketManifold
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 venues tracked-0.2pp in 24h
0
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score0/100
Canonical ID: 1fe949f8-36b0-4a0c-bda8-08e6babf588e
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.