Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
1 venues tracked+0.5pp in 24h
27
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap0/30
Multi-venue6/20
News Velocity20/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum1/15
Total Intel Score27/100
Linked News
US stock markets dip for fourth straight week over US-Israel war on Iran
The Guardian12h ago
‘It’s not sustainable’: US farmers reeling as Iran war pushes fertilizer costs up
The Guardian21h ago
Mexican teen dies while being held in US immigration custody
BBC World21h ago
Spain expected to adopt emergency tax cuts to counter impact of US-Israel war on Iran – Europe live
The Guardian23h ago
Canonical ID: 29426a8d-b7b1-4308-8909-a1e793b3d000
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.