PolymarketManifold
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 venues tracked+7.3pp in 24h
30
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap16/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum15/15
Total Intel Score30/100
Canonical ID: 644b62b9-0cd8-49e7-9a34-3f8f7525decd
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.