PolymarketManifold
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 venues tracked+0.1pp in 24h
15
Live Venue Consensus
VenueYES %vs Poly
Manifold
Will Kristi Noem win the South Dakota Republican primary for Senate in 2026?
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Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Venue Gap15/30
Multi-venue0/20
News Velocity0/20
Related Events0/15
Price Momentum0/15
Total Intel Score15/100
Canonical ID: 6dc3de30-0cc1-4186-bbc2-bbacde5d825b
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.