Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Live Venue Consensus
Manifold
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Weights: Metaculus 1.5× · Kalshi 1.2× · PredictIt 0.9× · Manifold 0.8× (accuracy-based)
Signal Strength
Related Markets
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026
Will Rodrigo Rivera win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Linked News
Spain expected to adopt emergency tax cuts to counter impact of US-Israel war on Iran – Europe live
Netanyahu says Israel 'acted alone' in attack on Iranian gas field
Strike on Iran gas field exposes US-Israel rift as Trump claims he did not know
Oil and gas prices jump after Iran and Israel attack gasfields
Canonical ID: f359994c-d027-49cb-82f1-a5230e97b9c3
Entity links auto-generated via Jaccard + embedding similarity matching pipeline.