Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Closes June 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$38K
Bid / Ask
40% / 42%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087512
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz: 41%, Jannik Sinner: 34%, Alexander Zverev: 4%.
Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
41% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
41% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this