Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Closes June 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$98K
Liquidity
$42K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $98K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on June 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087515
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz: 41%, Jannik Sinner: 34%, Alexander Zverev: 4%.
Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
3% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-13.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this