Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Closes June 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$31K
Bid / Ask
33% / 35%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
34%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087513
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz: 41%, Jannik Sinner: 35%, Alexander Zverev: 4%.
Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
34% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
34% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this