Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Closes June 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$325K
Liquidity
$34K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $325K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on June 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087516
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Carlos Alcaraz: 41%, Jannik Sinner: 34%, Alexander Zverev: 4%.
Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this