Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?
FM Estimate
19%Market Price
20%This event has 25 active outcome markets. the Democratic Party: 95%, the Democratic Party: 94%, the Democratic Party: 94%.
Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284968