Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Closes November 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$453
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
2026
15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $453 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on November 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1395701
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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