Markets/Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 04:32 AM UTC

Closes November 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES

97%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

2% / 3%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 8, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 3%99%

Buy YES@ 3¢

Edge

+15.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+15.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on November 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1395728

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.