Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
FM Estimate
46%Market Price
48%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 4 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 81%, June 30: 48%, June 30, 2026: 18%.
Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1397260