Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
FM Estimate
16%Market Price
18%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 4 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 81%, June 30: 48%, June 30, 2026: 18%.
Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on December 31, 2025.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1397269