ForecastMind
Markets/Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5
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Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

82%YES
18%NO

Volume 24h

$71

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

79% / 85%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

82%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Avalanche vs. Penguins

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 82%99%
Buy YES@ 82¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 18¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $71 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Avalanche vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436031