ForecastMind
Markets/Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
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Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 6.5

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

42% / 43%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Capitals vs. Blues

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 6.5" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436084