ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bruins vs. Sabres
Share on X

Bruins vs. Sabres

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
83%NO

Volume 24h

$715K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

16% / 18%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

58%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Bruins vs. Sabres

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+22.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

35% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: +15.5pp

35% → 50%

Mar 26, 2026

Current

57% YES (+7.0pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢
Edge

+2.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 83¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bruins vs. Sabres" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $715K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 58%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Bruins vs. Sabres." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1448333