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Markets/Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
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Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$0

Liquidity

$0

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+52.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

9% YES — lowest in period

Mar 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

58%

Mar 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

54%

Mar 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

46%

Mar 5, 2026

Biggest move: -68.5pp

78% → 9%

Mar 3, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Mar 5, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1478892