Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$53K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
56% / 59%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2027
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
70% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Trough probability
44% YES — lowest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 26, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
61%
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -21.5pp
71% → 49%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
57% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $53K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1509649
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.