ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?
Share on X

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

84%YES
17%NO

Volume 24h

$204K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

83% / 84%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

84%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 84%99%
Buy YES@ 84¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.0%
½ Kelly1.5%
Buy NO@ 17¢

-3.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $204K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1536365